Divisional leaders clash on Sunday Night Football in Week 9 as the New England Patriots visit the Baltimore Ravens as 4-point road favorites on the NFL betting odds. New England is coming off a decisive 27-13 win over the Cleveland Browns last weekend to extend the team’s lead atop the AFC East with an unblemished
Divisional leaders clash on Sunday Night Football in Week 9 as the New England Patriots visit the Baltimore Ravens as 4-point road favorites on the NFL betting odds.
New England is coming off a decisive 27-13 win over the Cleveland Browns last weekend to extend the team’s lead atop the AFC East with an unblemished 8-0 straight-up record going into Sunday night’s game at M&T Bank Stadium.
Overall, the Patriots have claimed SU wins in 13 straight outings since December of last year, and are now firmly entrenched as +220 favorites on the NFL futures to repeat as Super Bowl champions. New England has been particularly dominant on the road during this NFL football season, posting four victories while outscoring opponents by a massive 125-17 margin.
The Patriots’ road success has largely come against inferior competition, with the squad posting lopsided shutout wins over the division rival New York Jets and Miami Dolphins, as well as a 33-7 win in Washington in Week 5 as 16.5-point chalk on the NFL lines.
Not surprisingly, New England has also paid out steadily against the NFL spread, covering in each of the team’s past four outings, and going 10-3 ATS during its impressive win streak. A stingy Patriots defense deserves plenty of credit for that, holding opponents to 14 or fewer points in all but two of their past 13 outings, with the lone two high-scoring affairs coming during last season’s playoff run.
While the total in Sunday night’s contest is pegged at 45.0, New England’s ability to shut down opposing offenses cannot be underestimated. The UNDER has prevailed in totals betting in four of New England’s past five outings despite the total being pegged at 43.0 or lower in each of those contests.
Ravens Coming off Victory as a Road Underdog
After enjoying a bye in Week 8 the Ravens return home to battle New England after extending their lead atop the AFC North with a 30-16 victory in Seattle as 3-point underdogs two weeks ago. Now sporting a 5-2 SU record, and a two-game lead over the second-place Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore sits as a -375 favorite on the NFL odds to repeat as the division champion, and as an improving +1800 wager on the Super Bowl odds.
Overall, the Ravens have won outright in three straight contests, but despite their success on the scoreboard they have been an NFL betting disappointment. Baltimore’s win over the Seahawks marked the team’s lone ATS victory in its past six outings, including ATS losses in each of the team’s past three home dates.
The Ravens have struggled to find consistency at times in recent home contests, going 6-4 SU in their past 10 dates at M&T Bank Stadium, and covering the spread just once during that stretch. Baltimore has fared considerably better when playing at home in prime time, claiming outright wins in 12 of 13 contests since December 2008. That run includes a narrow 31-20 win over New England on Sunday Night Football back in 2012.
However, the Ravens have struggled against the Patriots since relocating from Cleveland back in 1996, stumbling to a dismal 3-10 SU record in 13 overall meetings, including a trio of losses on home turf in which the Patriots racked up an average of 38 points per game.
Baltimore has fared slightly better at the sportsbooks when facing the Patriots. The Ravens have tallied a respectable 5-4-1 ATS record over their past 10 matchups with the defending Super Bowl champions, but have seen just one of those ATS wins come at home in a narrow 27-24 loss to New England as heavy 19-point underdogs back in 2007.
*Odds as of November 1st, 2019